Consider this: when John von
Neumann and his team at the Institute for Advanced Studies at Princeton
developed the fundamental architectural approach of modern computing,
they put their work into the public domain. When Paul Baran developed
the fundamental concepts of packet networking that underlie the
internet, he did the same thing. So too did Vint Cerf and Bob Kahn with
the TCP/IP protocol, and Tim Berners-Lee with HTTP and HTML, the
technologies that underly the World Wide Web.
These
pioneers created enormous value, yet they didn't capture very much of it
for themselves. That was left for others who built on what they gave to
the world for free.
On the other side of the ledger,
consider the Wall Street mavens who created new instruments to suck
value out of the financial system while damaging the economy as a whole,
culminating in the 2008 financial crisis that the world is so painfully
digging itself out of today.
Consider the patent
trolls who invent nothing, but file patents in legal language so broad
that they constitute a drift net in which real inventors who later come
up with actual new inventions successfully put into practice can
conveniently be caught and shaken down.
Or consider the whole world of what Umair Haque calls "thin value"
- the bait and switch techniques of airlines who lock in customers
through frequent flyer programs that fail to provide the benefits they
promise, the phone companies that require you to extend your servitude
every time you upgrade to a new phone, or the packaged food companies
that tout "new and improved" products every time they replace a natural
ingredient with cheaper substitutes.
These examples
should be enough to convince you that value creation and value capture
are not the same thing. An individual or a company can create enormous
value for society but not capture very much of it; an individual or a
company can capture a great deal of value without creating very much, or
even while destroying economic value. Ideally, those who create value
are rewarded for doing so, but it is often the case that those who
merely extract value do better financially.
Why does
this matter? It seems to me that as economists and government policy
makers think about innovation, they are trying to foster the wrong
thing. Innovation often begins with people who have no thought of value
capture, who have no idea that what they create will become valuable.
Incentives that reward entrepreneurs, for instance, miss the fact that many of the great innovations of modern technology began with people just having fun! Companies begin at a later stage in the economic process.
And
of course, as a result of crony capitalism, companies that are adept at
value extraction without value creation foster policies that support
their extractive businesses. The result may be an increase in measured
GDP, but not in the true health of the economy or the wealth of society.
We need to begin studying the economics of value creation, not just the economics of value capture.
In a recent series of talks, I've invoked an article written nearly forty years ago by alternative energy activist Steve Baer entitled "The Clothesline Paradox."
Baer noted that when you put your clothes in the dryer, the energy you
use is measured and counted, but when you hang them on the clothesline,
the energy you save simply "disappears" from the economy. Of course, it
doesn't disappear, but shows up in money that was saved and thus spent
elsewhere.
We recently wrote an O'Reilly Radar report about
the Clothesline Paradox with regard to open source software and the web
hosting industry. Web hosting is a simple subscription model for access
to free and open source software like Linux, Apache, MySQL, PHP,
Wordpress, and the domain name system. The value created by these open
source projects was captured in the economy not just by hosting
companies like Bluehost, our partner in the study, but also by internet
service providers ranging from Comcast to local companies like
Sonic.net, our internet provider at O'Reilly. But more importantly, the
value was captured by every business for whom having a website is now an
important way to reach customers and grow their revenue and
profitability.
You can imagine how a policy that
encouraged the growth of ISPs might have had economic benefits. But how
much more benefit would be policies that encouraged the development of
more open source software? Favoring a particular industry is a recipe
for economic distortion. But policies that favor precursors to economic
activity - value creation without value capture - don't pick winners.
They enrich the soil in which anything can grow!
Open
source software didn't just give root to companies that explicitly
monetize it, as Red Hat did Linux, but to whole new industries.
Internet Service Providers, web design firms, ad agencies, giant new
companies like Google, Amazon, and Facebook, all flourished in the rich
soil of open source software. Even proprietary companies like Apple took
in open source software and used it as the basis for a new generation
of products.
Government can encourage open source
software by using more of it, by releasing more of the software it
develops itself as open source, and by promoting related policies, like
open access to data produced by government research.
Investing in value creation rather than value capture is a kind of long term thinking. There was a great piece about Mark Zuckerberg in New York Magazine that talked about long term thinking.
"When
talking about Zuckerberg’s most valuable personality trait, a colleague
jokingly invokes the famous Stanford marshmallow tests, in which
researchers found a correlation between a young child’s ability to delay
gratification—devour one treat right away, or wait and be rewarded with
two—with high achievement later in life….
"Most Wall
Street investors would perform miserably on the marshmallow test. Over
the past couple of decades, as the money-management business has gotten
ever more competitive, they have elevated the narrowly defined concept
called 'shareholder value' to an absurdly exalted status. Shareholder
value, in the minds of most investors, is synonymous with 'today’s stock
price.' If today’s stock price is higher than yesterday’s stock price, a
company’s management is said to have 'created' shareholder value. If
today’s stock price is lower, management 'destroyed' it. It doesn’t
matter that the decisions and priorities that boost stocks in the short
term—such as inflating this year’s earnings by firing people or cutting
product-development spending—are often at odds with decisions and
priorities that create greater value over the long haul."
The
epitome of that kind of over-financialized short-term thinking, the
phenomenon that drove the 2008 financial crisis, was predicted by
economists George Akerlof and Paul Romer in their 1996 paper Looting:
"…the
normal economics of maximizing economic value is replaced by the
topsy-turvy economics of maximizing current extractable value, which
tends to drive the firm's economic net worth deeply negative. Once
owners have decided they can extract more from a firm by maximizing
their present take, any action that allows them to extract more
currently will be attractive--even if it causes a large reduction in the
true economic net worth of the firm. A dollar in increased dividends
today is worth a dollar to owners, but a dollar in increased future
earnings is worth nothing because future payments accrue to the
creditors who will be left holding the bag."
It's easy
to point a finger at Wall Street when condemning this kind of short term
thinking, but it seems to me that every startup whose business plan
begins with getting venture capital and ends up with an exit is playing
the same game. A company that truly wants to create value rather than
just capture it has plans to be around for the long haul.
Any
farmer knows that if you want to keep growing crops year after year,
you have to put as much into the soil than you take out, or it becomes
depleted. That's why our business touchstone at O'Reilly is the maxim,
"Create more value than you capture."
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